Friday, April 25, 2014

Having the Same Birthday Raps


Having the same birthday is the birthday paradox

(1/365) every time

it is a coin flip

(1/2)ˆ2 is two coin flips

(364/365)^x is simply the probability of two individuals having the same birthday, given that the individual was not born on February 29.  Seeing how this comparison occurs solely between two people, there are solely two possible outcomes.

(i.e. (0.5)ˆx ; x = 2 ; 2 tosses = 25% chance of both heads)

Where the odds of winning the dice roll are (364/365), the probability is

This is effectively a large roll of dice, 37 rolls of ten sided dice and one roll simply roll the five needed up reading 1-5 as 1-5 and 6-0 as 1-5 as well. Asking this to dice is the same question.

Out of 22 people the odds are still a 6% chance there is an individual with the same birthday as you, the number of days in the year doesn’t get smaller, given someone has one’s own birthday


To look at the number of instances of probability there are two separate occurrences, the outcome between the two people, and the alleged introduction of more people onto the win pile. Given that each person does this themselves, this adds to the number of trials, and hence the probability of success{where no individuals share the same birthday}

(364/365) ^22 may be 0.941428675 or around 6% chance for one person, where Y equals the number of people asking the question minus the individual in question (364/365)ˆ22)ˆ(Y-1) ) where Y is 22, (364/365)ˆ22)ˆ21), the probability of every individual having a win (success)at this point is around 28.1%, however the probability of one’s self failing to have a win still sits at 6%

the chances are simply around 16% of the days have arrived, the number of trials has led to a point that 16% of the days of the year have been surmounted to the room. The reiteration of the trial with the adding set simply means probability will incur itself.


Given that no individual acknowledges the existence of February 29, nor any events that have occurred on such a day including births

midgets become the Keebler elves in the reds wood trees turn into Ewoks its oks
greatest napes search for grapes and everybody knows its the planets of the apes
crepes for grapes bole an radishes lean lids lipping lay down slick crepes of rapes
rays nay grey nigh sunrise limes jettison shine wrought sickness oil stray the quays
wry shanty faces lecher scant land sickness tarnish the benches scathing the jetty
waves gray as those pleated at the scorned hollow beneath all dock shunning days


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